IRI releases survey on upcoming Nigerian elections

Feb. 2, 2011, 2:47 p.m.

The International Republican Institute (IRI) released its public opinion survey on Nigerians’ expectations in the run-up to the country’s April elections.  The survey was  conducted November 29-December 7, 2010, an included 3,030 in-person interviews of voting age men and women of voting.  The margin of error for the national sample is less than +/- 1.7 percent.  Margin of errors for smaller samples sizes will be higher.

IRI’s poll suggests that Nigerians are optimistic about their prospects for peaceful and credible elections in 2011.  Seventy-seven percent of those interviewed agree that the elections will be mostly free, fair and credible, and 74 percent believe that they will be more credible than the 2007 elections. Voter interest also appears to run high, with 89 percent of those polled indicating that they would definitely or probably vote in the upcoming presidential election.  A similar majority also indicated their intention to vote in the national assembly and state and local elections.  The optimism is accompanied by high expectations: 77 percent expect their personal and/or family economic situation will improve after the elections.  The top two national issues cited by the potential voters include corruption (16 percent) and unemployment (15 percent) while lack of electricity (21 percent) was identified as the number one issue of local concern.

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