IPI survey on Egyptian public opinion

June 21, 2011, 3:49 p.m.

The International Peace Institute (IPI) has released today a survey on public attitudes in Egypt.  Among other topics, the poll explores Egyptians' opinions on leading figures for the upcoming presidential race, as well a political parties.

As the country heads towards democratic elections, former Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa remains the front runner for the November presidential election with 32% of voting intentions.

If they run, sitting Prime Minister Essam Sharaf would place second at 16% and Marshall Mohammad Tantawi third at 8%. Opposition leaders Mohammad El Baradei and Ayman Nour get just 2% and 3% of vote intentions respectively. However, competition is likely to increase as presidential campaigns pick up momentum over the summer.

The two best known and oldest parties--the secular, liberal Wafd and the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood--still lead in the race for Egypt’s parliament, the People’s Assembly. The Wafd is favorably viewed by 40% and the Muslim Brotherhood by 31%. The New National Party, successor to former President Hosni Mubarak’s National Democratic Party, surprises with 20% viewing favorably.

However, the poll’s results indicate that most of the older parties are losing votes, and the “don’t knows” are increasing as numerous new parties emerge. The rise in the undecided vote creates an open field for the September parliamentary elections, though secular parties lead over religious parties among voters with preferences.

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