IFES Survey: Transition and Trepidation in Ukraine

Feb. 8, 2011, 4:51 p.m.

The International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) has released a report detailing the findings from their latest survey in Ukraine.

The survey reveals that Ukrainians are slightly less pessimistic this year about the direction of the country, yet 44 percent of Ukrainians still believe Ukraine is on a path toward instability and chaos while only 21 percent believe Ukraine is on the path toward stability and prosperity. The percentage citing instability is down from 74 percent in 2009 and 76percent in 2008, while the percentage citing stability increased from 7 percent in 2009.

As Ukraine nears its 20 Year Anniversary of Independence, 41 percent of Ukrainians feel the country is worse off than at the time of independence, compared to 21 percent who believe it is better off, 14 percent who view the country as being in the same condition, and one quarter who say they do not know (24 percent). Among the reasons given for the country being worse off are the economic decline since independence, corruption, unemployment, ineffective leadership, and unstable relations with Russia.

This is the 18th public opinion poll conducted in Ukraine by IFES, and some of the findings from earlier surveys will be referenced in this briefing paper. The fieldwork for this most recent survey was conducted from September 8 to 20, 2010, with 1,519 respondents throughout Ukraine. This sample comprised a national sample of 1,269 respondents, and an over-sample of 125 respondents in Kyiv and 125 respondents in Crimea. The data has been weighted by region, age, and gender to be nationally representative for the adult (18+) population of Ukraine. The margin of error for a sample of this size is plus/minus 2.6 percent.

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